Michigan: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead
The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a major vote share of 54.1% for Clinton, and 45.9% for Trump in Michigan. In comparison, on October 28 Trump was predicted to gain 45.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be regarded with caution, as they often contain substantial biases. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts. The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 54.1% of the two-party vote in Michigan.