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Maryland: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 68.3% for Clinton, and 31.7% for Trump in Maryland. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to gain 68.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, because they often include substantial errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 66.1% of the two-party vote in Maryland. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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