Maine: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead
The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will receive 56.3% of the two-party vote share in Maine, while Trump will win 43.7%. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to collect 56.3% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models often include substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 55.6% of the two-party vote in Maine. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Maine.