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Crosstab model in Kentucky: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 34.7% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, whereas Trump will win 65.4%. In comparison, on October 31 Trump was still predicted to achieve 65.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, one should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 62.1% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 3.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kentucky.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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