The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 34.7% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, whereas Trump will win 65.4%. In comparison, on October 31 Trump was still predicted to achieve 65.7% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, one should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 62.1% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 3.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kentucky.