Kentucky: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 34.4% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, whereas Trump will end up with 65.7%. In comparison, on October 30 Trump was predicted to achieve 65.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, since they may include substantial errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 61.9% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 3.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kentucky.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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