Jerome model in Utah: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Utah.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, as they can contain large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, one should consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 58.7% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 5.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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