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Indiana: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

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The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 43.9% for Clinton, and 56.1% for Trump in Indiana. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to collect only 43.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, you should not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 55.7% of the two-party vote in Indiana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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