Hawaii: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 64.7% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, whereas Trump will win 35.3%. In comparison, on October 31 Trump was predicted to achieve 35.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be interpreted with caution, as they may include large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 69.6% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 4.9 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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