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DeSart model in West Virginia: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 33.3% for Clinton, and 66.7% for Trump in West Virginia.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, you should not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 62.4% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 4.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in West Virginia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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