DeSart model in Kentucky: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 35.5% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, whereas Trump will win 64.5%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, you should not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 61.9% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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