DeSart & Holbrook model in Oklahoma: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 35.7% for Clinton, and 64.3% for Trump in Oklahoma.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be regarded with caution, because they may incorporate large biases. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 64.2% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Oklahoma.