Crosstab model in Delaware: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 60.0% of the two-party vote share in Delaware, whereas Trump will end up with 40.1%. In comparison, on October 30, Clinton was predicted to collect 60.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 60.1% of the two-party vote in Delaware. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Delaware.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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