Crosstab model in Wyoming: Trump is in the lead
The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 27.1% for Clinton, and 73.0% for Trump in Wyoming. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to end up with 27.1% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the recommended strategy consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 70.1% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.