Crosstab model in Wyoming: Trump is in the lead
The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 27.2% of the two-party vote share in Wyoming, while Trump will win 72.8%. In comparison, on October 28 Trump was predicted to garner 72.1% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may incorporate large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 69.8% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.