Crosstab model in Wyoming: Trump is in the lead
The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 27.1% of the two-party vote share in Wyoming, whereas Trump will win 72.9%. In comparison, on October 30 Trump was predicted to win 72.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, as they often include large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, you should use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 69.9% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 3.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Wyoming.