Wisconsin: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 52.9% of the two-party vote share in Wisconsin, while Trump will win 47.1%. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to end up with 53.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 53.6% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.7 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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