Crosstab model in Washington: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 59.0% of the two-party vote share in Washington, whereas Trump will win 41.0%. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to gain only 58.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, because they may contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 59.1% of the two-party vote in Washington. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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