Crosstab model in Washington: Clinton is in the lead
The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 59.0% of the two-party vote share in Washington, whereas Trump will win 41.0%. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to gain only 58.7% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, because they may contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 59.1% of the two-party vote in Washington. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.