The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a major vote share of 53.9% for Clinton, and 46.2% for Trump in Virginia. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to win 54.3% of the vote.
In Virginia, the popular vote is usually close. Therefore, the state is commonly regarded as a battleground state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, don't be too confident the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 54.2% of the two-party vote in Virginia. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.3 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.