Crosstab model in Virginia: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 54.3% of the two-party vote share in Virginia, whereas Trump will win 45.7%. In comparison, on October 30, Clinton was predicted to collect 54.4% of the vote.

Virginia is traditionally a battleground state, where the two major political parties have historically achieved similar levels of support among voters. Hence, the election outcome in that state is regarded crucial in determining who will win the majority of electoral votes.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, since they may incorporate substantial errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data. The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 54.3% of the two-party vote in Virginia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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