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Vermont: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 70.3% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will win 29.7%. In comparison, on October 30 Trump was predicted to collect 29.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, you should not rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 67.4% of the two-party vote in Vermont. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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