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Utah: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 38.7% for Clinton, and 61.3% for Trump in Utah. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to win only 38.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often incorporate large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 58.8% of the two-party vote in Utah. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 2.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Utah.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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