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Crosstab model in Utah: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 38.6% for Clinton, and 61.4% for Trump in Utah. In comparison, on October 28 Trump was still predicted to achieve 61.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, one should not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, you should look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 58.6% of the two-party vote in Utah. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 2.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Utah.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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