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Utah: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

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The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 38.1% for Clinton, and 61.9% for Trump in Utah. In comparison, on October 30 Trump was predicted to achieve 61.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 58.7% of the two-party vote in Utah. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 3.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Utah.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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