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Crosstab model in Texas: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a major vote share of 45.8% for Clinton, and 54.2% for Trump in Texas. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 45.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models can incorporate large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 54.0% of the two-party vote in Texas. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Texas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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