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Crosstab model in Texas: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 45.7% for Clinton, and 54.3% for Trump in Texas. In comparison, on October 30, Clinton was predicted to end up with 45.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, you should not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 53.9% of the two-party vote in Texas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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