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Crosstab model in Tennessee: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 41.6% of the two-party vote share in Tennessee, while Trump will end up with 58.4%. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to win only 41.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 58.9% of the two-party vote in Tennessee. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.5 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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