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Crosstab model in South Carolina: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 46.7% of the two-party vote share in South Carolina, while Trump will end up with 53.3%. In comparison, on October 28 Trump was predicted to garner 53.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 54.4% of the two-party vote in South Carolina. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in South Carolina.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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