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Crosstab model in Rhode Island: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 58.7% of the two-party vote share in Rhode Island, while Trump will end up with 41.3%. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to win only 58.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they may incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 61.6% of the two-party vote in Rhode Island. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.9 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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