Crosstab model in Pennsylvania: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 53.3% of the two-party vote share in Pennsylvania, whereas Trump will win 46.7%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 54.2% of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Pennsylvania.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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