Crosstab model in Pennsylvania: Clinton is in the lead
The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 53.3% of the two-party vote share in Pennsylvania, whereas Trump will win 46.7%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 54.2% of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Pennsylvania.