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Crosstab model in Pennsylvania: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 53.3% of the two-party vote share in Pennsylvania, while Trump will win 46.7%. In comparison, on October 30, Clinton was predicted to collect only 53.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 54.1% of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.8 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Pennsylvania.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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