Oklahoma: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 34.2% for Clinton, and 65.8% for Trump in Oklahoma. In comparison, on October 30, Clinton was predicted to collect 34.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 64.2% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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