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Crosstab model in Ohio: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 49.3% of the two-party vote share in Ohio, while Trump will win 50.7%.

Ohio is traditionally a swing state, where the GOP and the Democrats have often gained similar levels of voter support. This is the reason why the election outcome in that state is regarded critical in determining the overall result of the presidential election.

Putting the results in context

Single models can incorporate substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 49.2% of the two-party vote in Ohio. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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