The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 49.3% of the two-party vote share in Ohio, while Trump will win 50.7%.
Ohio is traditionally a swing state, where the GOP and the Democrats have often gained similar levels of voter support. This is the reason why the election outcome in that state is regarded critical in determining the overall result of the presidential election.
Putting the results in context
Single models can incorporate substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 49.2% of the two-party vote in Ohio. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.