North Dakota: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 37.2% of the two-party vote share in North Dakota, while Trump will end up with 62.8%. In comparison, on October 31 Trump was still predicted to achieve 62.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, don't focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 60.1% of the two-party vote in North Dakota. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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