The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 37.2% for Clinton, and 62.8% for Trump in North Dakota. In comparison, on October 28, Clinton was predicted to end up with 37.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models can incorporate large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, forecasting research recommends to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 59.4% of the two-party vote in North Dakota. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.