Crosstab model in North Carolina: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 50.8% of the two-party vote share in North Carolina, whereas Trump will win 49.2%. In comparison, on October 31 Trump was predicted to collect 48.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, since they can contain substantial errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 50.7% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in North Carolina.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.