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Crosstab model in North Carolina: Clinton is in the lead


The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 51.2% for Clinton, and 48.8% for Trump in North Carolina. In comparison, on October 30, Clinton was predicted to gain 51.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 50.7% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in North Carolina.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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