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New York: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 64.1% for Clinton, and 35.9% for Trump in New York. In comparison, on October 31 Trump was still predicted to collect 36.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, because they may contain large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 63.2% of the two-party vote in New York. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in New York.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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