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New York: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead


The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a major vote share of 63.6% for Clinton, and 36.4% for Trump in New York. In comparison, on October 30 Trump was predicted to win 36.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can contain large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, one should consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 63.4% of the two-party vote in New York. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in New York.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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