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Crosstab model in New Mexico: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 55.7% for Clinton, and 44.3% for Trump in New Mexico. In comparison, on October 28, Clinton was predicted to collect 55.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 56.5% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.8 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in New Mexico.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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