Crosstab model in New Mexico: Clinton is in the lead
The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 55.6% for Clinton, and 44.5% for Trump in New Mexico. In comparison, on October 30 Trump was predicted to collect 44.3% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, because they may contain large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 56.5% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in New Mexico.