The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 59.2% of the two-party vote share in New Jersey, while Trump will win 40.8%. In comparison, on October 28 Trump was still predicted to achieve 41.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, don't rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 59.5% of the two-party vote in New Jersey. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in New Jersey.