Nebraska: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead
The Crosstab model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 37.8% of the two-party vote share in Nebraska, while Trump will end up with 62.2%. In comparison, on October 30, Clinton was predicted to achieve 37.9% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models often incorporate substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 60.1% of the two-party vote in Nebraska. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 2.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Nebraska.