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Missouri: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 45.3% of the two-party vote share in Missouri, while Trump will win 54.7%. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to win only 45.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can contain large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 53.7% of the two-party vote in Missouri. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Missouri.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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