The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 45.3% of the two-party vote share in Missouri, while Trump will end up with 54.7%. In comparison, on October 28 Trump was still predicted to garner 55.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 53.7% of the two-party vote in Missouri. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Missouri.