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Crosstab model in Mississippi: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 45.7% for Clinton, and 54.3% for Trump in Mississippi. In comparison, on October 30, Clinton was predicted to end up with 45.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be regarded with caution, because they may incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the recommended strategy look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 55.0% of the two-party vote in Mississippi. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.7 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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