The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 55.2% of the two-party vote share in Minnesota, whereas Trump will win 44.8%. In comparison, on October 31 Trump was still predicted to achieve 45.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, one should not have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, we recommend to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 55.4% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.2 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Minnesota.