Crosstab model in Minnesota: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 55.2% of the two-party vote share in Minnesota, whereas Trump will win 44.8%. In comparison, on October 31 Trump was still predicted to achieve 45.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, one should not have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, we recommend to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 55.4% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.2 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Minnesota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.