Michigan: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 54.0% for Clinton, and 46.0% for Trump in Michigan. In comparison, on October 30 Trump was predicted to garner 45.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 54.1% of the two-party vote in Michigan. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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