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Massachusetts: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 66.4% of the two-party vote share in Massachusetts, while Trump will win 33.6%. In comparison, on October 31 Trump was still predicted to obtain 33.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 65.5% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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