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Crosstab model in Maryland: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 68.5% for Clinton, and 31.5% for Trump in Maryland. In comparison, on October 28 Trump was predicted to collect 31.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 66.0% of the two-party vote in Maryland. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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