Crosstab model in Louisiana: Trump is in the lead

The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 41.0% for Clinton, and 59.0% for Trump in Louisiana. In comparison, on October 28 Trump was predicted to win 58.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 58.5% of the two-party vote in Louisiana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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